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MILLENNIUM

WINNERS AND LOSERS IN THE COMING WORLD ORDER

A gratingly Delphic speculation on which regions might gain dominion in the global village by the turn of the century and beyond. In assessing what the future may hold for latter-day superpowers and their challengers, Attali (a longtime advisor to French President Mitterand who became the first head of the European Bank for Reconstruction & Development, an institution created to give erstwhile Soviet satellites a fighting chance of adjusting to capitalism's Darwinian rigors) offers two main scenarios. In one, the so-called Pacific sphere (an area, anchored in Tokyo, that encompasses not only developed and developing states in East Asia but also all nations in the Americas) emerges victorious in the ongoing struggle for supremacy. In the other, the Continent's common-market countries prevail. Unless they mend their improvident ways, the author predicts, the US and USSR will continue to suffer both absolute and comparative decline since economic rather than military might will determine the winners of this high-stakes game. Such trouble spots as Africa, China, India, and the Middle East are not even in the running, he asserts, though they retain a boundless potential for destabilizing mischief. As the competition for geopolitical ascendancy intensifies, Attali predicts, prosperous, privileged elites will have the means to roam the earth in pursuit of personal fulfillment and/or corporate profit while hordes of have-nots barely subsist in crowded backwaters. In the brave new millennial world dimly foreseen by the author, the planet as well as huddled masses will be ranked among the biggest losers if humanity does not halt its depredation of the environment. In similar small-is-beautiful vein, Attali argues against taking bioscience and other advanced technologies too far. For all their flash and filigree, the author's provocative, albeit carefully hedged, prophecies can be described most charitably as rooted in flights of fancy, not systematic analysis. In brief, then, a quasi-apocalyptic vision that's neither conclusive nor convincing.

Pub Date: Sept. 1, 1991

ISBN: 0-8129-1913-0

Page Count: 144

Publisher: Times/Henry Holt

Review Posted Online: May 19, 2010

Kirkus Reviews Issue: July 15, 1991

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BETWEEN THE WORLD AND ME

NOTES ON THE FIRST 150 YEARS IN AMERICA

This moving, potent testament might have been titled “Black Lives Matter.” Or: “An American Tragedy.”

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The powerful story of a father’s past and a son’s future.

Atlantic senior writer Coates (The Beautiful Struggle: A Father, Two Sons, and an Unlikely Road to Manhood, 2008) offers this eloquent memoir as a letter to his teenage son, bearing witness to his own experiences and conveying passionate hopes for his son’s life. “I am wounded,” he writes. “I am marked by old codes, which shielded me in one world and then chained me in the next.” Coates grew up in the tough neighborhood of West Baltimore, beaten into obedience by his father. “I was a capable boy, intelligent and well-liked,” he remembers, “but powerfully afraid.” His life changed dramatically at Howard University, where his father taught and from which several siblings graduated. Howard, he writes, “had always been one of the most critical gathering posts for black people.” He calls it The Mecca, and its faculty and his fellow students expanded his horizons, helping him to understand “that the black world was its own thing, more than a photo-negative of the people who believe they are white.” Coates refers repeatedly to whites’ insistence on their exclusive racial identity; he realizes now “that nothing so essentialist as race” divides people, but rather “the actual injury done by people intent on naming us, intent on believing that what they have named matters more than anything we could ever actually do.” After he married, the author’s world widened again in New York, and later in Paris, where he finally felt extricated from white America’s exploitative, consumerist dreams. He came to understand that “race” does not fully explain “the breach between the world and me,” yet race exerts a crucial force, and young blacks like his son are vulnerable and endangered by “majoritarian bandits.” Coates desperately wants his son to be able to live “apart from fear—even apart from me.”

This moving, potent testament might have been titled “Black Lives Matter.” Or: “An American Tragedy.”

Pub Date: July 8, 2015

ISBN: 978-0-8129-9354-7

Page Count: 176

Publisher: Spiegel & Grau

Review Posted Online: May 5, 2015

Kirkus Reviews Issue: July 1, 2015

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GOOD ECONOMICS FOR HARD TIMES

Occasionally wonky but overall a good case for how the dismal science can make the world less—well, dismal.

“Quality of life means more than just consumption”: Two MIT economists urge that a smarter, more politically aware economics be brought to bear on social issues.

It’s no secret, write Banerjee and Duflo (co-authors: Poor Economics: A Radical Rethinking of the Way To Fight Global Poverty, 2011), that “we seem to have fallen on hard times.” Immigration, trade, inequality, and taxation problems present themselves daily, and they seem to be intractable. Economics can be put to use in figuring out these big-issue questions. Data can be adduced, for example, to answer the question of whether immigration tends to suppress wages. The answer: “There is no evidence low-skilled migration to rich countries drives wage and employment down for the natives.” In fact, it opens up opportunities for those natives by freeing them to look for better work. The problem becomes thornier when it comes to the matter of free trade; as the authors observe, “left-behind people live in left-behind places,” which explains why regional poverty descended on Appalachia when so many manufacturing jobs left for China in the age of globalism, leaving behind not just left-behind people but also people ripe for exploitation by nationalist politicians. The authors add, interestingly, that the same thing occurred in parts of Germany, Spain, and Norway that fell victim to the “China shock.” In what they call a “slightly technical aside,” they build a case for addressing trade issues not with trade wars but with consumption taxes: “It makes no sense to ask agricultural workers to lose their jobs just so steelworkers can keep theirs, which is what tariffs accomplish.” Policymakers might want to consider such counsel, especially when it is coupled with the observation that free trade benefits workers in poor countries but punishes workers in rich ones.

Occasionally wonky but overall a good case for how the dismal science can make the world less—well, dismal.

Pub Date: Nov. 12, 2019

ISBN: 978-1-61039-950-0

Page Count: 432

Publisher: PublicAffairs

Review Posted Online: Aug. 28, 2019

Kirkus Reviews Issue: Sept. 15, 2019

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